File // DR-07 // Attention Half-Life
Sec 03 / Signal Decay
分岐報告書
Rev 1.130426
Slide 07 / 14
Takeaway
//
readers don't quit — they drift out of range
Subscribers don't churn. They
fade
.
// Trace · open_rate_by_weeks_since_signup
REC · 04:12
Weekly open-rate cohort · signups 2024-Q1 → present
Kept · read weekly
Baseline · never opened again
80%
60%
40%
20%
10%
0%
HALF-LIFE · WK 06
open-rate 31.4% (from 63.2%)
WK 01
WK 02
WK 04
WK 06
WK 09
WK 13
WK 18
WK 24
n = 41,286 cohort
signal · 63.2% → 8.4%
// Attention Half-Life
0
6
.
2
wk
50% of readers · gone
-2.1 wk vs 2023
// Silent Drift Rate
7
3
%
never formally unsubscribe
just stop opening
// Cohort Readout · Q1 2024
CH · 07
Cohort size
41,286
Week-01 open
63.2%
Week-24 open
08.4%
Formal unsub
04.1%
Source: Cohort telemetry, Amber Wire newsletter platform, 2024-Q1 → 2024-Q4 (n=41,286).
Amber Wire
AMBER//WIRE
07 / 14
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