Track density is a signal
Twelve models converging on one landfall window carry more weight than any single run.
The cone widens with time
Days 1–3 are near-deterministic. Days 4–5 compound drift: planning windows narrow.
Category alone undersells the threat
A slow Cat‑2 stalling over a basin often outperforms a fast Cat‑4 in total damage.
Wind radii map the true footprint
Hurricane-force winds rarely exceed 30 nm from center. Tropical-storm winds reach 150 nm.