Economics

Why the era of cheap capital is truly over

After a decade of near-zero rates, the global economy must relearn what it costs to borrow money — and who ultimately pays the price.

In the autumn of 2008, when central banks first pushed benchmark rates toward the floor, the decision felt temporary — a crisis measure for extraordinary times. Seventeen years later, cheap money has become embedded in corporate strategy, sovereign debt, and household finance.

The long hangover

The numbers tell a stark story. Global corporate debt has swollen to nearly twice its pre-crisis figure, much of it premised on rates remaining low indefinitely. The latest policy cycle has exposed a decade of mispriced risk across every major asset class.

“We built a financial system on the assumption that money would always remain cheap. That assumption is now the dangerous variable.”
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